Norway vs Senegal Prediction, Odds & Fantasy Picks — World Cup 2026

Live Odds — Updated Jun 22 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk

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✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction

50,000 SIMULATIONS

Most likely result

Norway to Win — 2–1

55%
Norway Win

25%
Draw

20%
Senegal Win

Group I second place fight — genuinely even

Haaland vs Senegal backline — physically dominant

Mane intelligence vs Haaland athleticism

Under 2.5: Both teams can organize defensively

Match Analysis

Norway: Norway's Strongest Test

Norway face their toughest Group I match in MD2 against Senegal — AFCON champions who matched France's organization throughout the tournament. Haaland's physical presence will be tested by Kalidou Koulibaly's experience and positioning.

Ødegaard and Haaland's combination play from free kicks has produced 4 goals in the last 8 Norway internationals. Senegal defend set pieces well — it will take open play quality to break them.

2.1

xG/90 Qualifying

Haaland + Odegaard

Attack Core

+3500

Tournament Odds

Senegal: Senegal Fight for Second Place

Senegal likely need a win here to guarantee second place behind France. Mané's experience in these pressure situations is their most important asset — he has scored in 3 of his last 4 knockout match equivalents.

Ismaïla Sarr's pace from the right and Boulaye Dia through the middle give Senegal a counter-attack combination that can threaten any backline.

1.6

xG/90 AFCON Qualifying

Mane + Sarr

Wide Threats

+4000

Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Norway lead 3–1 all-time. No prior major tournament meeting.

Team Stats Comparison

🇳🇴 Norway 🇸🇳 Senegal

2.1

xG per 90

1.6

55%

Possession

48%

0.8

Goals Conceded/90

0.9

84%

Pass Accuracy

80%

⚡ AI Betting Picks

BEST VALUE

Norway Win & Under 2.5

Haaland makes the difference — Norway grind 2-1 or 1-0

AI PICK

-130

Both Teams to Score

Senegal too dangerous to keep out — expect a competitive 2-1

VALUE

+110

Erling Haaland Anytime Scorer

Best striker at WC 2026, guaranteed involvement, always scores

HOT

+130

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⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match

DFS OPTIMIZED

🇳🇴

Erling Haaland

FWD · Norway · 25 yrs · Best striker at WC 2026, physical vs Koulibaly

40.8

Proj. Pts

25% owned

🇸🇳

Sadio Mané

FWD · Senegal · 34 yrs · Intelligent movement, experience in big matches

24.4

Proj. Pts

10% owned

🇳🇴

Martin Ødegaard

MID · Norway · 27 yrs · Set piece delivery, creative link to Haaland

30.1

Proj. Pts

15% owned

🇸🇳

Ismaïla Sarr

FWD · Senegal · 26 yrs · Right-side pace, counter-attack speed

20.8

Proj. Pts

8% owned

🇳🇴

Alexander Sørloth

FWD · Norway · 28 yrs · Second striker pace, combines with Haaland

22.4

Proj. Pts

9% owned