⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group I · Matchday 3
Norway
🇳🇴
Norway
FIFA Rank #23 · Tournament Odds +3500
VS
France
🇫🇷
France
FIFA Rank #2 · Tournament Odds +500
📅 Monday, June 29, 2026
·
🕕 4:00 PM ET
·
🏟 Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 29 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
France to Win — 2–1
26%
Norway Win
28%
Draw
46%
France Win
MD3: Group I top spot battle
France rotation risk — Mbappe's minutes managed
Haaland vs French backline — best MD3 duel
Both teams have nothing to lose at this stage
Match Analysis

Norway: Norway's Defining Match

Norway need a win or draw here to guarantee second place. Haaland's ability to hurt any defense regardless of how well they set up is their greatest asset — even a defensive France will concede one if Haaland gets a chance inside the area.

Solbakken will set up with Haaland and Sørloth central and Ødegaard creating from a withdrawn position. If they can score first, France's response changes the match.

2.1
xG/90 Qualifying
Haaland + Odegaard
Attack Core
+3500
Tournament Odds

France: France May Rotate for R16

France arrive almost certainly qualified as group winners. Deschamps will manage Mbappé's minutes — he may start but be withdrawn at 60 minutes to keep him fresh for the knockout rounds.

Even a rotated France with Thuram and Kolo Muani starting has enormous quality. Norway will need their best performance to win this.

2.3
xG/90 Qualifying
Mbappe + Griezmann
Attack Pair
+500
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

France lead 4–2 all-time. Most recent meeting was a 2-0 France win in Nations League 2024.

Team Stats Comparison
🇳🇴 Norway 🇫🇷 France
2.1
xG per 90
2.3
45%
Possession
58%
0.8
Goals Conceded/90
0.6
84%
Pass Accuracy
88%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
France Win & Under 2.5
France quality wins even rotating — grind a 2-1 result
AI PICK
-115
Erling Haaland Anytime Scorer
Norway need to score — Haaland always shows up in must-win
HOT
+175
Draw
Norway push hard — at +285, the point-securing draw is value
VALUE
+285
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇳🇴
Erling Haaland
FWD · Norway · 25 yrs · Must-score context, Norwegian talisman
36.8
Proj. Pts
20% owned
2
🇫🇷
Kylian Mbappé
FWD · France · 27 yrs · Likely to start even rotating — too dangerous
38.4
Proj. Pts
23% owned
3
🇳🇴
Martin Ødegaard
MID · Norway · 27 yrs · Set piece delivery, creative key
28.4
Proj. Pts
14% owned
4
🇫🇷
Marcus Thuram
FWD · France · 27 yrs · Rotation starter — Inter Milan quality
26.1
Proj. Pts
11% owned
5
🇫🇷
Antoine Griezmann
MID · France · 35 yrs · Finals pedigree, set piece quality
28.8
Proj. Pts
13% owned
Match venue