⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group I · Matchday 3
Senegal
🇸🇳
Senegal
FIFA Rank #20 · Tournament Odds +4000
VS
Iraq
🇮🇶
Iraq
FIFA Rank #68 · Tournament Odds +35000
📅 Monday, June 29, 2026
·
🕕 4:00 PM ET
·
🏟 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 29 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
Senegal to Win — 3–0
77%
Senegal Win
15%
Draw
8%
Iraq Win
Senegal needs a win to secure third place route
Iraq eliminated — historical participation complete
Mane final WC group match at 34
Over 2.5: Senegal must score to guarantee R16 spot
Match Analysis

Senegal: Senegal Secure Their Spot

Senegal need a win here to confirm third-place advancement in the expanded WC format. Mané will lead the line knowing it's likely his final World Cup group stage match — he'll be fully motivated.

Against Iraq's organized block, Senegal will use width — Sarr from the right and Diatta from the left — to create crossing opportunities for Mané and Boulaye Dia.

1.6
xG/90 AFCON Qualifying
Mane + Sarr
Attack Keys
+4000
Tournament Odds

Iraq: Iraq's Historic Tournament Ends

Iraq leave their first World Cup in 40 years with pride. They competed against Norway and will give Senegal a test — Aymen Hussein has the quality to score in any match he plays.

Their 4-5-1 defensive block will frustrate Senegal early. If Iraq can stay in the match until 70 minutes, an upset becomes possible.

1.4
xG/90 AFC Qualifying
Aymen Hussein
Goal Threat
+35000
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Senegal lead all-time 2–0. No prior competitive meeting.

Team Stats Comparison
🇸🇳 Senegal 🇮🇶 Iraq
1.6
xG per 90
1.4
55%
Possession
43%
0.9
Goals Conceded/90
1.2
80%
Pass Accuracy
75%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
Senegal Win & Over 2.5
Senegal must attack — wins 2-0 or 3-0 with Mane leading
AI PICK
-105
Ismaïla Sarr Anytime Scorer
Right-side pace vs Iraq left back — Senegal's best avenue
HOT
+185
Senegal Win to Nil
Iraq limited attacking threat — Senegal should keep clean sheet
VALUE
-170
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇸🇳
Sadio Mané
FWD · Senegal · 34 yrs · Final WC group match, motivated to perform
28.8
Proj. Pts
13% owned
2
🇸🇳
Ismaïla Sarr
FWD · Senegal · 26 yrs · Right-side pace, best route through Iraq defense
24.1
Proj. Pts
10% owned
3
🇮🇶
Aymen Hussein
FWD · Iraq · 28 yrs · 12 qualifying goals, quality finisher
18.4
Proj. Pts
5% owned
4
🇸🇳
Boulaye Dia
FWD · Senegal · 27 yrs · Villa striker, penalty area threat
22.4
Proj. Pts
8% owned
5
🇸🇳
Habib Diallo
FWD · Senegal · 29 yrs · Physical presence, rotation option up front
16.8
Proj. Pts
5% owned
Match venue