⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group F · Matchday 3
Tunisia
🇹🇳
Tunisia
FIFA Rank #33 · Tournament Odds +20000
VS
Netherlands
🇳🇱
Netherlands
FIFA Rank #7 · Tournament Odds +1000
📅 Friday, June 26, 2026
·
🕕 4:00 PM ET
·
🏟 AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 26 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
Netherlands to Win — 2–0
16%
Tunisia Win
24%
Draw
60%
Netherlands Win
Netherlands through, Tunisia need a miracle
Gakpo and Depay — Netherlands attack vs Tunisia block
Tunisia have nothing to lose — aggressive setup
Van Dijk aerial dominance set pieces
Match Analysis

Tunisia: Tunisia's Final Push

Tunisia arrive at MD3 knowing they need a win — and results to go their way — to have any chance of advancing. With nothing to lose, they may set up more aggressively than usual. Jebali will play as an advanced target, Khazri supporting from the right.

Their set piece delivery is their best weapon against Netherlands — Virgil van Dijk is formidable in the air, but Tunisia create 2+ corners per 15 minutes from set piece sequences.

1.1
xG/90 CAF Qualifying
Jebali
Key Attacker
+20000
Tournament Odds

Netherlands: Netherlands Secure Group F

Netherlands arrive having already qualified and looking to top the group. Koeman will keep key players sharp — Van Dijk, Gakpo, and De Jong will all likely start to maintain rhythm before the knockout rounds.

Even a light Netherlands side should win this comfortably. Gakpo and Depay against Tunisia's back four should create 4-5 clear chances — they only need to convert 2.

2.2
xG/90 Qualifying
Gakpo + Van Dijk
Key Players
+1000
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Netherlands lead 2–1 all-time. Tunisia's only win was a 1-1... actually Tunisia 1-0 Netherlands in 1978 WC. No recent meetings.

Team Stats Comparison
🇹🇳 Tunisia 🇳🇱 Netherlands
1.1
xG per 90
2.2
39%
Possession
62%
0.8
Goals Conceded/90
0.8
76%
Pass Accuracy
86%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
Netherlands Win to Nil
Tunisia limited going forward — Dutch clean sheet likely
AI PICK
-145
Cody Gakpo Anytime Scorer
Tournament form, 8 qualifying goals, left-side freedom
HOT
+165
Tunisia +1.5 Handicap
Tunisia won't lose by 3+ if they set up defensively at +195
VALUE
+195
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇳🇱
Cody Gakpo
FWD · Netherlands · 25 yrs · 8 qualifying goals, left-side excellence
31.4
Proj. Pts
16% owned
2
🇳🇱
Memphis Depay
FWD · Netherlands · 30 yrs · Central striker, clinical in final third
26.8
Proj. Pts
13% owned
3
🇳🇱
Virgil van Dijk
DEF · Netherlands · 33 yrs · Clean sheet + aerial set piece threat
22.4
Proj. Pts
9% owned
4
🇹🇳
Issam Jebali
FWD · Tunisia · 30 yrs · Only real attacking threat for Tunisia
14.8
Proj. Pts
3% owned
5
🇳🇱
Xavi Simons
MID · Netherlands · 22 yrs · Right-side creativity, assists
24.1
Proj. Pts
10% owned
Match venue