Tunisia arrive at MD3 knowing they need a win — and results to go their way — to have any chance of advancing. With nothing to lose, they may set up more aggressively than usual. Jebali will play as an advanced target, Khazri supporting from the right.
Their set piece delivery is their best weapon against Netherlands — Virgil van Dijk is formidable in the air, but Tunisia create 2+ corners per 15 minutes from set piece sequences.
Netherlands arrive having already qualified and looking to top the group. Koeman will keep key players sharp — Van Dijk, Gakpo, and De Jong will all likely start to maintain rhythm before the knockout rounds.
Even a light Netherlands side should win this comfortably. Gakpo and Depay against Tunisia's back four should create 4-5 clear chances — they only need to convert 2.
Netherlands lead 2–1 all-time. Tunisia's only win was a 1-1... actually Tunisia 1-0 Netherlands in 1978 WC. No recent meetings.