⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group G · Matchday 3
New Zealand
🇳🇿
New Zealand
FIFA Rank #97 · Tournament Odds +50000
VS
Belgium
🇧🇪
Belgium
FIFA Rank #3 · Tournament Odds +650
📅 Saturday, June 27, 2026
·
🕕 4:00 PM ET
·
🏟 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 27 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
Belgium to Win — 4–0
4%
New Zealand Win
8%
Draw
88%
Belgium Win
Belgium already qualified — rotation likely
NZ eliminated — dead rubber in Group G
De Bruyne gets one more WC group appearance
Doku and Openda vs NZ backline — goals certain
Match Analysis

New Zealand: New Zealand's WC Education Complete

New Zealand have given a good account of themselves at their first World Cup at this level, but Belgium in MD3 is the toughest test. The All Whites will compete for 90 minutes — their set piece quality gives them a 1-in-20 chance of a moment.

Chris Wood will battle Vertonghen and Faes. If New Zealand can score, the crowd will be behind them — Atlanta is full of neutral fans at this stage.

1.0
xG/90 OFC Qualifying
Chris Wood
Only Threat
+50000
Tournament Odds

Belgium: Belgium Secure the Group

Belgium arrive having already qualified as group winners. Martínez may rotate — but he won't rest De Bruyne for a chance at a WC moment in his final tournament. The depth of this squad means even a rotated Belgium wins comfortably.

Doku and Openda against New Zealand's back four should create 6+ chances. Belgium score 3+ in matches where they face WC debutants based on historical data.

2.4
xG/90 Qualifying
De Bruyne + Doku
Attack Core
+650
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Belgium lead all-time 2–0. No prior World Cup meeting.

Team Stats Comparison
🇳🇿 New Zealand 🇧🇪 Belgium
1.0
xG per 90
2.4
38%
Possession
65%
1.3
Goals Conceded/90
0.7
74%
Pass Accuracy
87%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
Belgium Win & Over 3.5
NZ defense cannot handle Belgium depth — 4+ goals expected
AI PICK
-130
Loïs Openda Anytime Scorer
Pace in behind, rotation starter, best value among starters
HOT
+160
Jeremy Doku Anytime Scorer
Left-side freedom vs NZ — creates and converts
VALUE
+185
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇧🇪
Loïs Openda
FWD · Belgium · 24 yrs · Pace striker, clinical vs weaker opposition
28.4
Proj. Pts
13% owned
2
🇧🇪
Jeremy Doku
FWD · Belgium · 22 yrs · Left-side destroyer, 2+ chances created
30.1
Proj. Pts
16% owned
3
🇧🇪
Kevin De Bruyne
MID · Belgium · 35 yrs · Final WC group match, assists and goals
32.8
Proj. Pts
18% owned
4
🇳🇿
Chris Wood
FWD · New Zealand · 34 yrs · Set piece aerial quality, last WC group match
13.4
Proj. Pts
3% owned
5
🇧🇪
Charles De Ketelaere
MID · Belgium · 24 yrs · Atalanta form, creative rotation option
22.1
Proj. Pts
8% owned
Match venue