Egypt vs IR Iran Prediction, Odds & Fantasy Picks — World Cup 2026

Live Odds — Updated Jun 27 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk

Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling

✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction

50,000 SIMULATIONS

Most likely result

IR Iran to Win — 1–0

27%
Egypt Win

27%
Draw

46%
IR Iran Win

Third place battle — one R16 slot available

Iran physical edge in direct midfield battle

Egypt defensive 4-4-2 creates low-scoring match

Taremi vs Egypt backline — key individual duel

Match Analysis

Egypt: Egypt Need a Result to Advance

Egypt arrive at MD3 in a must-not-lose situation for third-place qualification. Their defensive discipline that earned 7 clean sheets in CAF qualifying will be tested by Iran's physical strikers. Mostafa Mohamed must make chances count.

Without Salah, Egypt's creative ceiling is limited. Omar Marmoush from Manchester City provides quality in pockets, but Iran's defensive midfield will be set up specifically to negate him.

1.2

xG/90 CAF Qualifying

Mohamed + Marmoush

Attack Keys

+25000

Tournament Odds

IR Iran: Iran Play for Qualification

Iran likely need only a draw here to advance as Group G's third-place qualifier. Taremi and Azmoun give them the physical presence to frustrate Egypt's midfield and create chances from set pieces.

Carlos Queiroz's setup has always been pragmatic — they'll take a 0-0 for 60 minutes then open up when the scoreline demands it. Iran have closed out 1-0 wins in 6 of their last 10 competitive matches.

1.8

xG/90 AFC Qualifying

Taremi + Azmoun

Striker Pair

+8000

Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Iran lead recent AFC/CAF friendlies 4-3. No World Cup meeting.

Team Stats Comparison

🇪🇬 Egypt 🇮🇷 IR Iran

1.2

xG per 90

1.8

47%

Possession

53%

0.9

Goals Conceded/90

0.8

77%

Pass Accuracy

81%

⚡ AI Betting Picks

BEST VALUE

Iran Win & Under 2.5

Iran physical edge, defensive discipline — narrow win expected

AI PICK

-130

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams defensive first in must-not-lose context

VALUE

-145

Draw

Egypt push for a result — at +255 the level match is underpriced

HOT

+255

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⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match

DFS OPTIMIZED

🇮🇷

Mehdi Taremi

FWD · IR Iran · 32 yrs · Inter Milan form, set piece target, clinical

22.8

Proj. Pts

9% owned

🇪🇬

Omar Marmoush

FWD · Egypt · 25 yrs · Man City creativity, best Egypt option without Salah

20.1

Proj. Pts

8% owned

🇮🇷

Sardar Azmoun

FWD · IR Iran · 30 yrs · Aerial threat vs Egypt backline

21.4

Proj. Pts

8% owned

🇪🇬

Mostafa Mohamed

FWD · Egypt · 24 yrs · Set piece deliveries, aerial quality

17.8

Proj. Pts

5% owned

🇮🇷

Ali Gholizadeh

MID · IR Iran · 28 yrs · Right-side pace, creates width

16.4

Proj. Pts

5% owned