⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group I · Matchday 1
France
🇫🇷
France
FIFA Rank #2 · Tournament Odds +500
VS
Senegal
🇸🇳
Senegal
FIFA Rank #20 · Tournament Odds +4000
📅 Tuesday, June 16, 2026
·
🕕 12:00 PM ET
·
🏟 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 16 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
France to Win — 2–0
67%
France Win
20%
Draw
13%
Senegal Win
France #2 FIFA, tournament co-favorites with Spain
Mbappe-Griezmann axis — best attacking pair in Group I
Senegal AFCON runners-up — dangerous underdogs
Under 2.5: Senegal organize defensively well
Match Analysis

France: France's Tournament Begins

France enter WC2026 as co-favorites alongside Spain, built around Kylian Mbappé's pace and technique at Real Madrid. Didier Deschamps deploys a 4-3-3 where Mbappé from the left and Antoine Griezmann from the right overload any defensive setup.

N'Golo Kanté and Aurélien Tchouaméni in midfield give France defensive solidity behind their attack. Against Senegal's physical midfield, the French base needs to be set early.

2.3
xG/90 Qualifying
Mbappe + Griezmann
Attack Pair
+500
Tournament Odds

Senegal: Senegal's AFCON Pedigree

Senegal — AFCON 2022 champions under Aliou Cissé — have Sadio Mané leading a technically gifted squad. Mané at 34 is past his Liverpool peak but still has the intelligence and movement to trouble any backline.

Their 4-4-2 defensive setup won AFCON by conceding just 3 goals in 6 matches. Against France, Mané must hold the ball up and bring Sarr and Diatta into the game from wide positions.

1.6
xG/90 AFCON Qualifying
Mane + Sarr
Attack Keys
+4000
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

France lead 3–1 all-time. Senegal beat France 1-0 at the 2002 World Cup in the most famous upset in Group Stage history.

Team Stats Comparison
🇫🇷 France 🇸🇳 Senegal
2.3
xG per 90
1.6
61%
Possession
46%
0.6
Goals Conceded/90
0.9
88%
Pass Accuracy
80%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
France Win & Under 2.5
Senegal organized — France win 1-0 or 2-0 without conceding
AI PICK
-120
Kylian Mbappé Anytime Scorer
Best forward in the tournament, left-side directness vs any defense
HOT
+130
Under 2.5 Goals
Senegal defend deep — France grind their way to a tight win
VALUE
-120
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇫🇷
Kylian Mbappé
FWD · France · 27 yrs · Real Madrid form, best forward at WC 2026
44.8
Proj. Pts
30% owned
2
🇫🇷
Antoine Griezmann
MID · France · 35 yrs · Right-side creation, set piece delivery, finals man
32.1
Proj. Pts
17% owned
3
🇸🇳
Sadio Mané
FWD · Senegal · 34 yrs · 2022 AFCON winner, intelligent movement
22.4
Proj. Pts
9% owned
4
🇫🇷
Ousmane Dembélé
FWD · France · 29 yrs · Right-side pace, PSG form, 6 qualifying assists
28.8
Proj. Pts
14% owned
5
🇸🇳
Ismaïla Sarr
FWD · Senegal · 26 yrs · Wide pace, counter-attack speed
19.1
Proj. Pts
6% owned
Match venue