⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group D · Matchday 1
USA
🇺🇸
USA
FIFA Rank #11 · Tournament Odds +1200
VS
Paraguay
🇵🇾
Paraguay
FIFA Rank #60 · Tournament Odds +20000
📅 Friday, June 12, 2026
·
🕕 9:00 PM ET
·
🏟 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 12 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
USA Won 4–1
67%
USA Win
20%
Draw
13%
Paraguay Win
USA won 4-1 — statement opening result
Christian Pulisic and Gio Reyna scored
Home crowd at MetLife — tournament-opening energy
Paraguay conceded 4 — defensive collapse
Match Analysis

USA: USA Send a Statement in MD1

The United States delivered their best World Cup group stage performance in history with a 4-1 demolition of Paraguay at MetLife Stadium. Christian Pulisic led the way with 2 goal involvements, and the home crowd of 82,000 made the atmosphere the loudest in CONCACAF in decades.

Gregg Berhalter's 4-3-3 pressed relentlessly and won the ball high 24 times. Gio Reyna from the #10 position was the creative heartbeat — 5 key passes in 70 minutes before substitution.

2.3
xG/90 Qualifying
4
Goals Scored MD1
+1200
Tournament Odds

Paraguay: Paraguay Collapse Under MetLife Pressure

Paraguay arrived as 60th-ranked underdogs and conceded 4 without the ability to organize their backline. Their counter-attack threat — Sanabria and Gomez — was neutralized by the USA's high defensive line.

Gustavo Morínigo will need to restore defensive confidence for the remaining matches. A draw vs Australia keeps Paraguay alive in Group D.

1.1
xG/90 Qualifying
1
Goal Scored MD1
+20000
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

USA lead all-time 5–2. No prior World Cup meetings.

Team Stats Comparison
🇺🇸 USA 🇵🇾 Paraguay
2.3
xG per 90
1.1
60%
Possession
42%
0.8
Goals Conceded/90
2.1
83%
Pass Accuracy
76%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
USA Win
Most dominant Group D team through MD1 — momentum on their side
AI PICK
-210
Christian Pulisic Anytime Scorer
2 goal involvements in MD1, operates centrally, on penalties
HOT
+155
Over 2.5 Goals
USA attack prolific — Paraguay must be more open now
VALUE
-105
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇺🇸
Christian Pulisic
FWD · USA · 27 yrs · 2 WC goal involvements, on penalties
38.4
Proj. Pts
26% owned
2
🇺🇸
Gio Reyna
MID · USA · 23 yrs · 5 key passes MD1, creative heartbeat
32.1
Proj. Pts
17% owned
3
🇺🇸
Ricardo Pepi
FWD · USA · 23 yrs · MD1 goalscorer, physical presence
28.8
Proj. Pts
14% owned
4
🇵🇾
Antonio Sanabria
FWD · Paraguay · 29 yrs · MD1 consolation scorer, aerial threat
18.4
Proj. Pts
5% owned
5
🇺🇸
Weston McKennie
MID · USA · 27 yrs · Box-to-box goals, 4 qualifying goals from MF
24.1
Proj. Pts
11% owned
Match venue