⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group H · Matchday 3
Uruguay
🇺🇾
Uruguay
FIFA Rank #14 · Tournament Odds +2500
VS
Spain
🇪🇸
Spain
FIFA Rank #1 · Tournament Odds +450
📅 Sunday, June 28, 2026
·
🕕 4:00 PM ET
·
🏟 NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 28 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
Spain to Win — 2–0
22%
Uruguay Win
27%
Draw
51%
Spain Win
Group H top spot decided here
Spain already qualified — rotation risk
Nunez vs Spanish backline — best duel in Group H MD3
De la Fuente keeps key players for R16 rhythm
Match Analysis

Uruguay: Uruguay Fight for Group H Second

Uruguay need a result here to ensure second place in Group H. Bielsa won't approach this cautiously — Núñez and Valverde will press Spain from the first whistle, attempting to disrupt their possession-based buildup.

Their historical record against Spain is respectable — wins at the 1950 World Cup. Bielsa's press could create enough turnovers to make this competitive.

1.9
xG/90 CONMEBOL Qualifying
Nunez + Valverde
Attack Pair
+2500
Tournament Odds

Spain: Spain Rotate but Stay Sharp

Spain arrive having already secured top spot. De la Fuente will rotate Pedri and Gavi but keep Yamal, who needs rhythm ahead of the knockout rounds. A rotated Spain still has enough quality to beat Uruguay.

Even Spain's B team operates the same 4-3-3 positional play system — ball recycling and finding Yamal in pockets. Uruguay will struggle to press efficiently enough.

2.7
xG/90 Qualifying
Yamal + Pedri
Creative Core
+450
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Uruguay lead World Cup meetings 2-1. Spain lead recent friendlies 2-1.

Team Stats Comparison
🇺🇾 Uruguay 🇪🇸 Spain
1.9
xG per 90
2.7
42%
Possession
64%
0.9
Goals Conceded/90
0.5
84%
Pass Accuracy
91%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
Spain Win & Under 2.5
Spain rotate but still have enough — 1-0 or 2-0 clean sheet
AI PICK
-110
Draw
Uruguay historical upsets vs Spain — Bielsa press creates moments at +290
VALUE
+290
Lamine Yamal Anytime Scorer
Spain's most dangerous player, right-side freedom
HOT
+160
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇪🇸
Lamine Yamal
FWD · Spain · 18 yrs · Guaranteed starter, right-side freedom
36.4
Proj. Pts
22% owned
2
🇺🇾
Darwin Núñez
FWD · Uruguay · 25 yrs · Pace vs Spanish backline, set piece threat
26.8
Proj. Pts
13% owned
3
🇺🇾
Federico Valverde
MID · Uruguay · 26 yrs · Long-range goals, engine of Uruguay press
24.4
Proj. Pts
11% owned
4
🇪🇸
Ferran Torres
FWD · Spain · 24 yrs · Rotation starter, left-side direct running
24.1
Proj. Pts
10% owned
5
🇺🇾
Rodrigo Bentancur
MID · Uruguay · 27 yrs · Set piece delivery, box-to-box goals
20.4
Proj. Pts
8% owned
Match venue