⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group K · Matchday 1
Portugal
🇵🇹
Portugal
FIFA Rank #6 · Tournament Odds +900
VS
DR Congo
🇨🇩
DR Congo
FIFA Rank #53 · Tournament Odds +20000
📅 Wednesday, June 17, 2026
·
🕕 1:00 PM ET
·
🏟 NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated June 17 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
Portugal to Win — 1–0 or 2–0
68%
Portugal Win
18%
Draw
14%
DR Congo Win
High AI confidence — Portugal 68% win probability
Portugal: 8W-1D-1L UEFA Qualifying Group J in qualifying — 3.0 xG per 90
DR Congo: ranked #53 · 5W-3D-2L CAF Qualifying Group C
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: key betting angle — watch first-half tempo
Match Analysis

Portugal: Ronaldo's Final Act in World Cup History

Portugal arrive with arguably their greatest-ever squad depth — and the question of whether Cristiano Ronaldo (Al-Nassr) starts remains one of the tournament's biggest storylines. Roberto Martínez built the team around young stars: Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) as the creative hub and Rafael Leão (AC Milan) as the left-wing destroyer.

Bernardo Silva (Manchester City) provides the technical excellence in midfield. Rúben Dias (Manchester City) anchors the defense with authority. Portugal's front three of Diogo Jota, Leão, and Fernandes creates one of the most dynamic attacks in the tournament — even without Ronaldo starting. 10 goals conceded in 10 UEFA qualifying games.

3.0
xG/90 in Qualifying
8W-1D-1L UEFA Qualifying Group J
Qualifying Record
+900
Tournament Odds

DR Congo: Leopards Roar Back to the World Cup

DR Congo return to the World Cup for the first time in decades — a historic achievement for Central African football. Yoane Wissa (Brentford) is their most explosive attacker — his pace and movement in behind defenders creates unique problems. Cédric Bakambu brings the tournament experience.

Chancel Mbemba (Olympique Marseille) leads the defense — his experience at top European level gives DR Congo a solid defensive foundation. Théo Bongonda provides pace on the right wing. Their direct style suits their personnel and can create problems in transition. DR Congo's physicality and pace could surprise more technical opponents.

1.4
xG/90 in Qualifying
5W-3D-2L CAF Qualifying Group C
Qualifying Record
+20000
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Portugal lead 3–0. No World Cup meetings. Last friendly: Portugal 3–0 DR Congo in 2023.

Team Stats Comparison
🇵🇹 Portugal 🇨🇩 DR Congo
3.0
xG per 90
1.4
60%
Possession
47%
0.5
Goals Conceded/90
1.2
87%
Pass Accuracy
76%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
Portugal Win
Portugal 68% vs DR Congo 14% — 3.0 xG/90 vs 1.4 xG/90
AI PICK
-245
Cristiano Ronaldo Anytime Goalscorer
Al-Nassr · all-time scorer · set pieces · experience
HOT
+180
Over 2.5 Goals
Portugal 3.0 xG + DR Congo 1.4 xG — high-scoring expected
VALUE
-115
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇵🇹
Cristiano Ronaldo
FWD · Portugal · 41 yrs · Al-Nassr
38.5
Proj. Pts
24% owned
2
🇵🇹
Bruno Fernandes
MID · Portugal · 30 yrs · Man United
30.2
Proj. Pts
16% owned
3
🇨🇩
Yoane Wissa
FWD · DR Congo · 28 yrs · Brentford
26.8
Proj. Pts
12% owned
4
🇵🇹
Rafael Leão
FWD · Portugal · 25 yrs · AC Milan
22.4
Proj. Pts
8% owned
5
🇨🇩
Cédric Bakambu
FWD · DR Congo · 34 yrs · Olympique Marseille
19.0
Proj. Pts
5% owned
Match venue