⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group F · Matchday 1
Netherlands
🇳🇱
Netherlands
FIFA Rank #7 · Tournament Odds +1000
VS
Japan
🇯🇵
Japan
FIFA Rank #18 · Tournament Odds +3000
📅 Sunday, June 14, 2026
·
🕕 12:00 PM ET
·
🏟 AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 14 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
Netherlands to Win — 2–1
52%
Netherlands Win
26%
Draw
22%
Japan Win
Netherlands -145 but Japan are genuinely dangerous
Japan defeated Germany 2022 WC — giant-killers
Depay and Gakpo — Netherlands attack in form
Under 2.5: Japan defend deep and organize well
Match Analysis

Netherlands: Netherlands Must Guard Against Japan Trap

The Netherlands arrive ranked 7th globally but cannot underestimate Japan, who defeated Germany and Spain at the 2022 World Cup. Ronald Koeman's 4-3-3 with Gakpo from the left and Depay through the middle creates constant threat, but Japan's high press forces turnovers against anyone.

Memphis Depay at 32 is still lethal in the penalty area — 4 qualifying goals from central striking positions. Frenkie de Jong controls tempo, and Xavi Simons provides youth and directness on the right.

2.2
xG/90 Qualifying
Depay + Gakpo
Attack Core
+1000
Tournament Odds

Japan: Japan's Giant-Killing Blueprint

Japan won't set up defensively despite being significant underdogs. Hajime Moriyasu trusts his high press to force turnovers in the Netherlands half, and Ritsu Doan and Kaoru Mitoma have the pace to exploit the space that creates.

Their 2022 wins against Germany (2-1) and Spain (2-1) followed the same pattern: absorb first half, adapt at halftime, press and score in the second half. The Netherlands are too experienced to fall for the same trap twice.

1.7
xG/90 Qualifying
Doan + Mitoma
Press Triggers
+3000
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Netherlands lead 3–1 all-time. Japan's only win was a 2019 friendly. No prior World Cup meetings.

Team Stats Comparison
🇳🇱 Netherlands 🇯🇵 Japan
2.2
xG per 90
1.7
58%
Possession
49%
0.8
Goals Conceded/90
0.9
86%
Pass Accuracy
83%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
Netherlands Win & Under 2.5
Japan press creates moments but Netherlands quality wins it
AI PICK
-120
Both Teams to Score
Japan have scored in 9 of last 10 — Netherlands defense is tested
VALUE
+110
Cody Gakpo Anytime Scorer
8 qualifying goals from left, set piece delivery and finisher
HOT
+175
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇳🇱
Cody Gakpo
FWD · Netherlands · 25 yrs · 8 qualifying goals, left-side excellence
34.8
Proj. Pts
19% owned
2
🇳🇱
Memphis Depay
FWD · Netherlands · 30 yrs · Central striker, penalty taker, physical
30.4
Proj. Pts
16% owned
3
🇯🇵
Ritsu Doan
MID · Japan · 26 yrs · Right-side directness, giant-killing form from 2022
24.8
Proj. Pts
10% owned
4
🇳🇱
Xavi Simons
MID · Netherlands · 22 yrs · Right-side creativity, late goals
26.4
Proj. Pts
12% owned
5
🇯🇵
Kaoru Mitoma
FWD · Japan · 27 yrs · Left-side pace, Brighton form, direct running
23.1
Proj. Pts
9% owned
Match venue