The Netherlands arrive ranked 7th globally but cannot underestimate Japan, who defeated Germany and Spain at the 2022 World Cup. Ronald Koeman's 4-3-3 with Gakpo from the left and Depay through the middle creates constant threat, but Japan's high press forces turnovers against anyone.
Memphis Depay at 32 is still lethal in the penalty area — 4 qualifying goals from central striking positions. Frenkie de Jong controls tempo, and Xavi Simons provides youth and directness on the right.
Japan won't set up defensively despite being significant underdogs. Hajime Moriyasu trusts his high press to force turnovers in the Netherlands half, and Ritsu Doan and Kaoru Mitoma have the pace to exploit the space that creates.
Their 2022 wins against Germany (2-1) and Spain (2-1) followed the same pattern: absorb first half, adapt at halftime, press and score in the second half. The Netherlands are too experienced to fall for the same trap twice.
Netherlands lead 3–1 all-time. Japan's only win was a 2019 friendly. No prior World Cup meetings.