⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group L · Matchday 1
England
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
England
FIFA Rank #5 · Tournament Odds +750
VS
Croatia
🇭🇷
Croatia
FIFA Rank #10 · Tournament Odds +2800
📅 Wednesday, June 17, 2026
·
🕕 9:00 PM ET
·
🏟 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated Jun 17 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
England to Win — 2–1
61%
England Win
23%
Draw
16%
Croatia Win
EURO 2020 final rematch — England revenge
Bellingham and Saka — best attacking duo in Group L
Modric at 40 — final WC for Croatian legend
Under 2.5: Croatia will organize and frustrate
Match Analysis

England: England's Defining Rematch

England and Croatia renew their EURO 2020 final rivalry with England seeking revenge. Jude Bellingham's central quality and Bukayo Saka's right-side directness give England the most technically gifted attacking pair they've had since the 1990s.

Gareth Southgate built England into a defensive unit that concedes rarely. Harry Kane at 32 leads the attack — 7 qualifying goals from deep striker positions, plus his Premier League-standard penalty record.

1.9
xG/90 Qualifying
Bellingham + Saka
Attack Core
+750
Tournament Odds

Croatia: Croatia's Final Wave

Luka Modrić at 40 enters what will certainly be his final World Cup. His technical genius and game-reading remain at elite level — he orchestrates from deep and makes Croatia hard to press. Ivan Perišić and Mateo Kovačić provide quality around him.

Croatia's 4-3-3 is built to control midfield tempo. Against England's high press, Modrić's positioning intelligence is the key — if he finds space between England's midfield and attack, Croatia can build attacks patiently.

1.7
xG/90 Qualifying
Modric + Kovacic
Midfield Pair
+2800
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

EURO 2020 Final: England beat Croatia 1-0 (extra time). 2018 WC Semi-Final: Croatia beat England 2-1. All-time: England lead 5-3.

Team Stats Comparison
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 🇭🇷 Croatia
1.9
xG per 90
1.7
54%
Possession
51%
0.8
Goals Conceded/90
0.9
85%
Pass Accuracy
86%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
England Win & Under 2.5
England quality wins — Croatia organized but limited attacking
AI PICK
-120
Both Teams to Score
Croatia are organized enough to create 1-2 chances — expect 2-1
VALUE
+110
Bukayo Saka Anytime Scorer
Right-side freedom vs Croatian left back — best individual bet
HOT
+190
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Jude Bellingham
MID · England · 22 yrs · Real Madrid quality, central creativity and goals
36.8
Proj. Pts
22% owned
2
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Bukayo Saka
FWD · England · 24 yrs · Right-side directness, Arsenal form, 6 qualifying goals
32.4
Proj. Pts
18% owned
3
🇭🇷
Luka Modrić
MID · Croatia · 40 yrs · Final WC — will orchestrate from deep with emotion
26.8
Proj. Pts
13% owned
4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Harry Kane
FWD · England · 32 yrs · Penalty taker, clinical finisher, 7 qualifying goals
30.4
Proj. Pts
16% owned
5
🇭🇷
Mateo Kovačić
MID · Croatia · 31 yrs · Man City quality, links play from deep
22.1
Proj. Pts
9% owned
Match venue