⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group G · Matchday 3
Belgium
🇧🇪
Belgium
FIFA Rank #3 · Tournament Odds +1200
VS
New Zealand
🇳🇿
New Zealand
FIFA Rank #97 · Tournament Odds +100000
📅 Friday, June 26, 2026
·
🕕 11:00 PM ET
·
🏟 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
·
📺 Fox Sports / Telemundo
Live Odds — Updated June 26 · 21+ · Gambling involves risk
Odds subject to change · Must be 21+ · Responsible Gambling
✦ PitchIQ AI Prediction
50,000 SIMULATIONS
Most likely result
Belgium to Win — 1–0 or 2–0
84%
Belgium Win
12%
Draw
4%
New Zealand Win
High AI confidence — Belgium 84% win probability
Belgium: 8W-1D-1L UEFA Qualifying Group B in qualifying — 3.0 xG per 90
New Zealand: ranked #97 · 6W-1D-1L OFC Nations Cup qualifying
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: key betting angle — watch first-half tempo
Match Analysis

Belgium: Golden Generation Has One Last Shot

Belgium's golden generation — De Bruyne, Lukaku, Courtois — are entering what will likely be their final World Cup. Kevin De Bruyne (Manchester City) at 34 remains one of the best playmakers in world football. His range of passing and set-piece delivery are unmatched in this tournament.

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli) leads the attack with physicality — 79 international goals make him Belgium's all-time scorer. Jeremy Doku (Manchester City) provides the right-wing threat with pace and directness. Thibaut Courtois (Real Madrid) is arguably the best keeper in this World Cup. Belgium average 3.0 xG/90 in qualifying — they can destroy any team in Group G.

3.0
xG/90 in Qualifying
8W-1D-1L UEFA Qualifying Group B
Qualifying Record
+1200
Tournament Odds

New Zealand: All Whites Making History

New Zealand qualified through OFC and make their WC return as massive underdogs in Group G. Chris Wood (Nottingham Forest) is their sole player at consistent top-level club football — 17 Premier League goals in 2023-24 demonstrate his quality as a target striker.

Marko Stamenic (Charlotte FC) provides the creative spark in midfield, while Logan Rogerson offers pace in attacking areas. New Zealand's 4-5-1 compact defensive block is their primary tool — they will sit deep and try to nick goals on the counter through Wood's hold-up and flick-ons.

0.8
xG/90 in Qualifying
6W-1D-1L OFC Nations Cup qualifying
Qualifying Record
+100000
Tournament Odds

Head-to-Head

Belgium lead 4–0 all-time. WC1990 meeting: Belgium 2–0 New Zealand.

Team Stats Comparison
🇧🇪 Belgium 🇳🇿 New Zealand
3.0
xG per 90
0.8
62%
Possession
41%
0.5
Goals Conceded/90
1.6
87%
Pass Accuracy
72%
⚡ AI Betting Picks
BEST VALUE
Belgium Win
Belgium 84% vs New Zealand 4% — 3.0 xG/90 vs 0.8 xG/90
AI PICK
-420
Kevin De Bruyne Anytime Goalscorer
Man City · playmaker · passing · set pieces · elite
HOT
+180
Over 2.5 Goals
Belgium 3.0 xG + New Zealand 0.8 xG — high-scoring expected
VALUE
-115
Place These Bets at DraftKings →
⭐ Fantasy Picks — This Match
DFS OPTIMIZED
1
🇧🇪
Kevin De Bruyne
MID · Belgium · 34 yrs · Man City
38.5
Proj. Pts
24% owned
2
🇧🇪
Romelu Lukaku
FWD · Belgium · 31 yrs · Napoli
30.2
Proj. Pts
16% owned
3
🇳🇿
Chris Wood
FWD · New Zealand · 32 yrs · Nottingham Forest
26.8
Proj. Pts
12% owned
4
🇧🇪
Jeremy Doku
FWD · Belgium · 23 yrs · Man City
22.4
Proj. Pts
8% owned
5
🇳🇿
Marko Stamenic
MID · New Zealand · 23 yrs · Charlotte FC
19.0
Proj. Pts
5% owned
Match venue